Are wimpy Millennials behind the rise in military suicides?
My realtalk buddy and I were trying to make heads or tails of the fact that suicides in the military now outnumber combat deaths. He was in Vietnam and said that, while soldiers always love to bitch about their assignments, there was nothing like the wave of suicides that there's been recently. And the people he's talking about faced far tougher stress in Vietnam than today's military has faced in Iraq and Afghanistan. (I'm still waiting for him to say, "The man in the black pajamas, Dude. Worthy fuckin' adversary.")
It looks like the government began collecting data in 1980. Here's the number per year:

A report shows that the military suicide rates paralleled the civilian suicide rates during the 1980s, '90s, and earlier half of the 2000s, then began surging sometime during the mid-2000s and up through 2008. They attributed a good deal of this to the deployment of troops to Iraq and Afghanistan.
However, more recent data show that suicides have continued to rise up through 2012. (They're comparing the Jan-May period for each year, to be able to include 2012, and say that the rate during this time-frame predicts what happens for the entire year.) Combat troops were withdrawn from Iraq in 2010, and the war in Afghanistan is winding down. So mere exposure to combat seems to be unlikely to explain much of the rise, which has only gotten worse even after steady de-escalation of the war effort.
What changed around 2006 and has continued through now? I think it's the generational structure. Most military suicides are males aged 18-24. But a 21 year-old Millennial is not the same as a 21 year-old Boomer or Gen X-er was. It looks like the suicide rate began climbing once Millennials started to make up a larger portion of the young adults in the military, right through today.
Having been sheltered by their helicopter parents all their lives, including being socially isolated from their peers, not to mention growing up during a falling-crime period, the Millennials never faced much of a test of survival and independence. They locked themselves indoors playing video games all day instead of gathering together in a group to play football in the park, or manhunt in the woods.
In the same way that regular stressors build stronger bones and muscles during development, regular rough-and-tumble play, even the occasional encounter with real violence, toughens a person mentally to handle the load as an adult. Violence doesn't even have to face you first-hand -- just seeing it happen to others via the news, word-of-mouth, and so on, reminds you that it could happen to you too. That alone can begin the process of building up mental defenses to such stressors later on.
It would hardly be surprising, then, that when the younger soldiers in the military are drawn from this generation, the rates of depression, anxiety, and suicide would begin soaring. Presumably they're tougher on average than a random group of Millennials, but still wimpier on average than their young military counterparts who were born before 1985.
That fits with the impression my younger brother gives me of what Army life is like in the 2010s. He entered basic training in his late 20s, and said the typical guy there was more interested in screwing off and complaining about minimal demands. Those guys were born in the early '90s, while he was born in 1982. He probably notices the pre-Millennial vs. Millennial differences more than I do, since he's even closer to their age, yet still on the not-too-fucked-up side of the generational divide. Just 5 years younger than him is a wide chasm.
I didn't hear too many stories like that from my other brother, also born in 1982, who went to Iraq once or twice during the mid-late 2000s, and has been out of the Army for several years now (I don't recall exactly when). Maybe the troop composition was only just getting screwed up when he got in, or maybe he just didn't feel like offering stories about them. I'll have to ask next time we're yakking on the phone.
Here we see another case of helicopter parents crippling or at least stunting their kids' healthy growth as "adults," in the name of (over-)protecting them as children.
Labels: Generations


14 Comments:
What's the deal with your brothers? Half-brothers? Just curious as your last paragraph is a little unusual and sad: I have one cousin whose military war zone service isn't clear to me (I've never met him, but hear of him), but could never say the same about my siblings, even step ones living in other states.
Interesting theory, but it may be an overreach. Suicide is also associated with unemployment, which has hit young, working-class Millenials hardest.
Also, it could be linked to a whole host of other pathological behaviors that the working-class is now experiencing, which were absent or not as bad in the 60s-90s period. For instance, a probably having a large bearing on the increase in suicides: lack of stable marriages amongst the working-class.
Teen heroin use has apparently skyrocketed. (Google it).
"What's the deal with your brothers?"
They're fraternal twins. I moved out here when the one was still overseas, and he came back for awhile, then maybe went back again. Sometimes stationed in Germany, sometimes Iraq. I can't remember exactly when he came back... around 2009 I guess.
"Suicide is also associated with unemployment, which has hit young, working-class Millenials hardest."
Suicide is not related to economic variables, which is visible in the graph. You can't see the boom-and-bust cycle. Also, Millennials in the military have secure jobs with benefits, so they'd be protected from unemployment woes anyway.
"Teen heroin use has apparently skyrocketed."
The Youth Risk Behavior Survey shows that heroin use among high schoolers peaked around 1999 or 2001. The 2011 rate is not different from the 2009 rate. Even at its peak, a little over 3% had used heroin recently.
The headline apparently meant that the number of teens seeking treatment for heroin use is increasing, and that the number of teen heroin deaths is skyrocketing.
http://video.msnbc.msn.com/nightly-news/47882067/#47882067
In the graph above, the suicide rate doesn't go below 200 until 1996, and doesn't go back above until 2006 (2004 looks right on the line). Did the 96-2005 cohort really come from that much of a high crime period relative to their predecessors?
i've always heard "back in my day talk" from military guys and guys who knew my dad and his family. but i have noticed some very clear examples told and very clear differentiations made by even guys my age about the millenials.
i don't think this is a case of rose colored glasses for once.
I do agree generational differences do have an impact but the length and nature of deployments is the bigger issue.
Solider in the current battle-front have no real ability to socialize with the locals, are not allowed to drink or do drugs and have no women or porn or any of the soldiers traditional releases.
In addition they are kept for long periods of time with no goal or idea when they might "win" and or return home except by leaving the service (and their brothers) behind and coming back to a recession. Even in WW2 where they couldn't leave, the goal was "beat the Axis and you can come home." In Afghanistan and to a lesser degree Iraq its "I dunno, maybe someday."
Lastly, modern war is more random and stressful than older modes (especially pre repeating weapons) Its put wear on the soldiers to never really see the enemy and to fight well homemade mines and the occasional ambush than to retaliate with an air strike rather than an honest open battle. Its either bushwhack or massacre neither of which are conducive to feeling like anything is being done.
After all one of the traditional "Payments" of the soldier was glory and honor and modern wars, especially this one lacks both.
Its little wonder that suicide rates are so high.
I suspect that as war gets more technologically sophisticated this will get worse and if for some terrible reason the US gets into a war with people that can hurt us, say by drones or the like and we can't nuke unlike the current wars vs very poor nations , well like Europe after WW2 you can count on an entire society with PTSD. If we survive that is
"Solider in the current battle-front have no real ability to socialize with the locals, are not allowed to drink or do drugs and have no women or porn or any of the soldiers traditional releases."
the suicides are happening *after* they get back to America.
Furthermore, there's a growing trend of suicides in teh civilian male population as well. This means that military suicides are probably linked to some larger trend than structural problems with the military.
I have a theory about this but I have no data whatsoever. Perhaps this is related not only to gen y's thin skins but the economic environment as well.
There have been hardly any decent jobs since maybe 2007. Lots of people join the military to escape the job market or to pay for college. With college tuition as expensive as it is compounded with the terrible job market it's possible that the military is attracting less than suitable candidates. It might be there are more people in the military who should simply not be there and are not capable of handling it.
The Vietnam vets probably had the toughest case. A soldier in WWII experienced an average of 40 days of combat during the entire 4 year war. Admittedly some of that combat was horrific (Anzio in Italy, Iwo Jima in the Pacific). However, the typical one-year tour of duty in Vietnam involved an average of 240 days of combat, most of it up close and personal combat in the jungle. This is the reason why the Vietnam vets came back so screwed up. The reason for the increased combat was the use of helicopters to quickly deliver soldiers into combat at a moments notice (helicopters were only being experimented with at the time of WWII).
I doubt the Iraqi veterans have it nearly as tough as the Vietnam vets did. The jungle combat in Nam was nasty.
How about having to do three and four tours in a combat zone? They can't bitch about it because they are volunteers, but three and four tours with six month turnarounds look endless from the grunts perspective. These guys have the attitude that they already are dead, it helps get them through their tour, it's only a small step further to off yourself.
As far as VN is concerned and only having read about it, I think units like the First of the Ninth and other Air Cavs saw inhuman amounts of action every day but it ended in a year, unless they loved it. The saying was 'stay away from the guys on their third tour.'I think other units did a lot of nothing until they ran into a few days of frenzy in their year tour.
Having said all that I think the constant tension of the possibility of being de-balled and de-legged by a shy woman in a burka, who blows herself up, adds considerably to the tension the guys experience now.
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