tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19346366.post3896093478273239530..comments2024-03-28T21:56:51.675-04:00Comments on Face to Face: No dance rock or garage rock revival during this vulnerable phase, unlike early 2000s, since no 9/11 this timeagnostichttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12967177967469961883noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19346366.post-25648901992423899862019-07-04T23:20:10.251-04:002019-07-04T23:20:10.251-04:00Since being introduced to the excitement cycle con...Since being introduced to the excitement cycle concept by this blog, I enjoy guessing when a song comes on which phase it is from. Usually it lines up pretty well and obviously just based on the year. Sometimes there are surprises, and other times after looking up the year I can reverse engineer and discover how my first guess was wrong. <br /><br />A song that recently struck me as being right on the mark is "I Don't Have the Heart" by James Ingram. Listen to the original version from the album It's Real, not the version that was re-recorded in another year. The song is from 1989, right at the end of the refractory phase. It captures this phase, with a closing transition that sets the stage for the next phase of the early 90s.<br /><br />Most of the song is an ordinary late 80s ballad. He's a man with a dilemma because he genuinely has affinity - an affectionate love - for his woman. But she doesn't rev his engine enough, so he can't love her the way she wants him to. He knows what he has to do, and it anguishes him. This more arid type of relationship formed during the refractory phase. As the phase ends, the relationship reaches its breaking point.<br /><br />The last minute of the song is a catharsis. The instrumentation changes. His falsetto howl is both relieved and energized. It represents the split, his moving on from not only the woman but the entire refractory phase.<br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19346366.post-36989707435764954982019-07-03T19:22:56.534-04:002019-07-03T19:22:56.534-04:00The hot topic music at least on XM Satellite alter...The hot topic music at least on XM Satellite alternative seems to be soft emo type music with soothing and mild lyrics.<br /><br />THis makes sense to me as the domestic conditions, the pre civil war vibe and the election of President Trump has created tremendous level of social stress. People just want to chill out <br /><br />Also if understand your theory demographic and social shifts will create longer cocooning cycles . people aren't going to be very outgoing when they afraid some slip of the tongue will get them fired or worse by some race grievance hustler or a social justice mob <br /><br />everyone has cameras now and that is going to put people under a fishbowl and cause them to keep their heads down. <br /><br />There will eventually be pushback but it won't be pleasant either and may well result in a tribalism culture where you have a public mixed culture and a tribal among friends culture a sort of Omerta for everyone <br /><br />This would I assume create very significant changes A.B. Prospernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19346366.post-73199203117856709502019-07-02T17:43:14.125-04:002019-07-02T17:43:14.125-04:00No, the excitement cycle is its own dynamic system...No, the excitement cycle is its own dynamic system. The length is 15 years, vs. around 60 years for the crime cycle, and 50 years if you're talking about Turchin's collective violence cycle.<br /><br />My crime-and-cocooning cycle has to do with outgoing social behavior, vs. withdrawn and guard-up behavior. When people are more out in public spaces, and letting their guard down, they are more easily preyed on by criminals. When they're more confined to private spaces, and keeping their guard up, they are not as vulnerable to crime.<br /><br />The excitement cycle is distinct -- more about people's energy levels, especially as they are plugged into an entire social or cultural mood. Excited, refractory, neutral / warming up.<br /><br />You could have excited energy levels, and yet still be cocooning -- that was my read on the dance club and coffee house atmosphere of the early 2010s. Young people were turbo-charged with excitement, but still not really letting their guard down in public spaces (staring at phones / laptops, hanging out only with known friends rather than striking up conversations with strangers, etc.).<br /><br />And in the other direction, you could be in an outgoing social mood but in a refractory state of energy levels -- the moody, gloomy early '70s, and the soft-rock late '80s were both when people were still hanging out in public all day long, interacting with strangers, kids going places without parental supervision, and so on.agnostichttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12967177967469961883noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19346366.post-33791869765716924082019-07-02T16:01:41.995-04:002019-07-02T16:01:41.995-04:00Does that have any link with the rising crime cycl...Does that have any link with the rising crime cycle and Peter Turchin's cycle?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19346366.post-37536787179955675432019-06-30T17:48:19.535-04:002019-06-30T17:48:19.535-04:00To re-cap the model of the 15-year excitement cycl...To re-cap the model of the 15-year excitement cycle and its three 5-year phases, here are the original posts on each one. Click the category tag "excitement cycle" at the end of this post, or in the sidebar, to see all posts on this topic.<br /><br />http://akinokure.blogspot.com/2017/10/upbeat-bouncy-music-peaks-in-15-year.html<br /><br />http://akinokure.blogspot.com/2018/05/pop-music-cycle-enters-mellow.html<br /><br />http://akinokure.blogspot.com/2018/05/the-restless-warm-up-phase-of-pop.html<br /><br />The basic analogy is an excitable system like a heartbeat, neuron activation, sexual arousal, intense exercise, and the like. There's a neutral stage where activation could take place but has not yet, followed by an excitation stage where the activity flies off the charts, finished with a refractory stage where activity is no longer possible. That stage ends with a return to the neutral stage again.<br /><br />Neutral stages: 2005-09, 1990-94, 1975-79, 1960-64, etc.<br /><br />Manic stages: 2010-14, 1995-99, 1980-84, 1965-69, etc.<br /><br />Crash stages: 2015-19, 2000-04, 1985-89, 1970-74, etc.agnostichttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12967177967469961883noreply@blogger.com