tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19346366.post2296050697695664963..comments2024-03-28T18:59:21.172-04:00Comments on Face to Face: Tunnel vision on vote share, blind to voter turnout: Missing the role of blue-collar whitesagnostichttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12967177967469961883noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19346366.post-54131761804336781722016-03-02T04:59:57.244-05:002016-03-02T04:59:57.244-05:00I think Cruz has appeal out West in general, even ...I think Cruz has appeal out West in general, even where they are flirting with or have legalized drugs, except at the far West Coast, where Rubio would be the Establishment choice.<br /><br />Cruz isn't running on an evangelical message, but more of a Tea Party / prepper / paranoid / anti-gubmint message. And the seculars can resonate with that message, even if it's dressed up in supernatural language.agnostichttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12967177967469961883noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19346366.post-26861476627900329362016-03-01T23:32:40.000-05:002016-03-01T23:32:40.000-05:00Well, it looks like Cruz's vaunted evangelical...Well, it looks like Cruz's vaunted evangelical belt deserted him. He's only won in Texas (getting into the low 40's, embarrassingly low for one's home state) and Oklahoma (basically the sister state of Texas). So the two factors kind to Cruz are rugged individualistic cowboy plains culture and brash religiosity. But outside of Texas and Oklahoma, these things don't really exist together anywhere else.<br /><br />Cruz is done. The kind of places that have legalized pot out West aren't voting for a frenzied bible banger, and the Southeast, Northeast, and Rust-belt Midwest don't want an ornery, paranoid survivalist who has no grasp of what makes communities strong. Cruz isn't close to Trump on jobs/trade/immigration etc.Ferylhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01336057631877941839noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19346366.post-86161300436725198342016-03-01T18:29:17.349-05:002016-03-01T18:29:17.349-05:00For those trying to keep track of what state does ...For those trying to keep track of what state does what, these two sites are useful:<br /><br />http://frontloading.blogspot.com/p/2016-republican-delegate-allocation-by.html<br /><br />http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/republican_delegate_count.html#!Ferylhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01336057631877941839noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19346366.post-3550793705259184772016-03-01T15:57:06.600-05:002016-03-01T15:57:06.600-05:00PA just had the Democrats sweep everything on the ...PA just had the Democrats sweep everything on the state level in 2015. I don't think it's a winnable state.Derrick Bonsellhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10624976943924251694noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19346366.post-30844240091575363522016-03-01T15:48:56.386-05:002016-03-01T15:48:56.386-05:00Is the culture war over? Not on the plebeian level...Is the culture war over? Not on the plebeian levels it isn't.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19346366.post-52592832455712656452016-03-01T15:19:10.490-05:002016-03-01T15:19:10.490-05:00+NH, +ME, +NV, +FL
NY, RI, MA, VT, MN, and NJ wil...+NH, +ME, +NV, +FL<br /><br />NY, RI, MA, VT, MN, and NJ will be closer than they've been in a generation. Maybe even IL too<br /><br /><br /><br />White bear lakerhttp://google.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19346366.post-72944876879081628412016-03-01T14:22:52.713-05:002016-03-01T14:22:52.713-05:00Agnostic, doesn't this basically mean that com...Agnostic, doesn't this basically mean that compared to 2012 Trump flips PA, OH, MI and WI into the red column? This gives him the electoral vote edge.Planet Ninenoreply@blogger.com